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Rating: Under 3.5 goals
Best odds: 1/2
Inter Milan are desperate to try to make up for the Serie A title chase and welcome Fiorentina to the San Siro on Saturday night.
Starting with the hosts, while Inter Milan might have seen their Champions League adventure end against Liverpool earlier this month, the Nerazzurri impressed with a shocking 1-0 win away at Anfield in their second match. But even though Simone Inzaghi’s team could have sought to build on the positive things they showed on European duties, the defending Italian champions eventually had to settle for a 1-1 draw away against Turin. In the opening of this weekend’s matches, the third was in the table and four points behind leading AC, the former Lazio boss has seen his team win just a couple of their previous eight matchups across all formats, a race that stumbles back to the beginning of February. With their recent disagreements highlighted by a 2-0 defeat to Sassuolo at the San Siro last month, Saturday’s hosts should at least be amplified by their recent encounter against Fiorentina. With a 3-1 win when the two teams met back in September, Inter will call for a similar display here.
After suffering a calf injury against Liverpool earlier this month, key defender Stefan de Vrij will again be missed here.
Apart from the Dutch defender, Inter Milan have no other injury problems to worry about on Saturday night.
As for the visitors who managed to make a much-needed return to win with a 1-0 win over Bologna last weekend, there is no doubt Fiorentina will be desperate to build on that result. Make no secret of the fact that they want to book a European return this season, Purples take the trip to Milan on Saturday night, where they were only two points after reaching the top-six. Head coach Vincenzo Italiano has received a lot of praise from all over Italy and has seen his team lose only one of their last five Serie A competitions. With that race highlighted by a 1-0 win over Atalanta at home, fans around the Stadio Artemio Franchi will still have a minor headache over their team’s problems in the final third. It should be noted that Saturday’s guests have failed to take more than a single strike in any of their previous five matchups across all formats. Although Purples could smell the chance of getting a riot at the San Siro this weekend, they have not won a win against Inter since 2017 and they should face a rigorous test here.
Despite suffering a stroke last week, Giacomo Bonaventura is expected to play a role on Saturday night.
Cristiano Biraghi also had to go out injured against Bologna after a strong tackle, but should be fine.
Key factors to consider
- When the two teams met back in September, Inter Milan picked up a 3-1 win at the Stadio Artemio Franchi.
- Likewise, the defending Serie A champions are undefeated in their last 11 straight encounters against Saturday’s opponents, a race dating back to 2017.
- Fiorentina are unbeaten in their last five Serie A matches.
- However, the Purples have not scored over 1.5 goals in any of their previous five matches across all formats.
- Eight of Inter Milan’s last nine matches across all formats have been seen under 2.5 goals at the final whistle.
While Inter Milan might open Saturday’s meeting at the San Siro as a landslide committee with the bookmakers, we may be in for a pretty cagey affair this weekend. When the defending Italian champions had to settle for a 1-1 draw away against Torino last time, they have gained something of a reputation for their low-scoring results. In addition to seeing eight of their previous nine matchups across all formats finish with under 2.5 goals, it should also be noted that Fiorentina have shown some recent problems ahead of goal. Since Saturday’s guests have not had more than a single strike in any of their last five domestic excursions, a result of less than 3.5 strikes can be found at quite attractive odds here.
Rating: Under 3.5 goals
Best odds: 1/2