Notable bets: Packers, Chiefs, Titans open as favorites in the division round

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The Green Bay Packers opened as the 4.5-point favorites over the San Francisco 49ers at Caesars Sportsbook for their NFC division-round matchup next Saturday night at Lambeau Field. The line was ticked up to the Packers -5.5 Sunday night by some books.

The Packers beat the 49ers 30-28 in Week 3 of San Francisco, with Aaron Rodgers leading a game-winning drive in the final 37 seconds.

“Green Bay looks like the best team and a clear favorite right now,” said John Murray, CEO of SuperBook at Westgate Las Vegas. “I still expect them to win the Super Bowl.”

In the AFC, the Kansas City Chiefs opened as 3-point favorites over the Buffalo Bills, and the Tennessee Titans opened as 3-point favorites over the Cincinnati Bengals.

The second NFC Division Round match will feature the winner of the Arizona Cardinals-Los Angeles Rams match on Monday against defending Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers.


NFL Remarkable: ‘Betting Audience Really Divided’ on Wild Card Games

• Typically, the betting audience will group themselves on a team, creating skewed action on sportsbooks, including in the playoffs. You will often find at least one big favorite that has attracted 80% or more of the money wagered. But that was not the case during the wildcard weekend. The pubic bet was really split.

No team attracted more than 65% of the money spent on the points spread at most sportsbooks.

“We have not had any real big decisions, which is unusual,” said Jeff Stoneback, director of MGM sportsbooks in Nevada. “I do not know why it is so balanced.”

The number of bets on Monday’s match between the Cardinals and Rams was split 50/50 at DraftKings, and Stoneback said Sunday night that the total money wagered on the last wild-card game was only separated by a few thousand dollars.

• The line on the Eagles-Buccaneers climbed as high as Tampa Bay -9.5, but dropped late in the week and closed at -7 at some books. Caesars Sportsbook reported having a bet of $ 110,000 on the Philadelphia +8 and $ 100,000 on the Eagles’ payline at +330. Tampa Bay won 31-15.

• The Buccaneers’ blowout of the Eagles gave the weekend’s biggest win to The Borgata sportsbook in Atlantic City, New Jersey. Thomas Gable, Borgata sportsbook director, called it a “very big win”, which included a $ 72,000 bet on the Eagles on the +14.5 (-230) alternative line. Tampa Bay won by 16 points.

• Big bets on the Bengals appeared on a Las Vegas sportsbook as local bets faded the hometown of the Raiders in the playoff opening.

“We were overwhelmed on the Bengals,” Murray said of the SuperBook. “We took several six-figure bets on that game, and they were all on the Cincinnati side, including one for $ 195,000 on the Bengals -5.5. Not exactly what we expected for the first Las Vegas Raiders playoff ever.”

• There were some big bets on the night game between the Steelers and Chiefs: $ 275,000 on the Steelers +13 (Caesars Sportsbook) and $ 220,000 on the Steelers +13 (DraftKings).

“We need Chiefs tonight big time,” Craig Mucklow, director of commerce for Caesars Sportsbook, told ESPN.

The Chiefs beat the Steelers 42-21.

• On Wednesday, a player with FanDuel in New York placed a $ 250,000 bet on the bills to win the Super Bowl at +750. The bet would pay a net $ 1,875,000 if Buffalo wins the franchise’s first Super Bowl.

• Odds of who will be the Chicago Bears’ next coach hit the board last week at sportsbooks in Colorado and Illinois after Matt Nagy was officially fired. Brian Flores is the favorite at +130, but Leslie Frazier (10-1) has been the most popular bet in Illinois and the PointsBet sportsbook. Frazier has attracted more than twice as many bets as Flores at PointsBet.


What were the odds?

• -650: The final cash line award on the Colorado Avalanche for Friday’s game against the Arizona Coyotes. It’s the highest price on an NHL favorite in any game in the last five seasons. Colorado won 5-0.

• +175: Kevin Durant’s odds of winning the regular season’s MVP, ahead of Sunday’s announcement that he will miss four to six weeks with a sprained MCL in his left knee. Durant was the betting favorite for the MVP.

• +150: Novak Djokovic’s odds of winning the Australian Open before losing his appeal to play despite being unvaccinated against COVID-19. Djokovic, who was betting favorite, left the country on Sunday.


Q&A with three players

Three of the five winners of Circa Survivor, the most lucrative public NFL survival contest hosted by Las Vegas casino Circa, told ESPN this week about their biggest sweat of the season, revealing their Super Bowl picks.

Michael Sax

Biggest sweat: The Vikings over the Lions in Week 5. Detroit gathered from down 10 in the final five minutes and took the lead on a 2-point conversion with 37 seconds left. But Minnesota’s Greg Joseph scored a 54-yard battle-winning field goal as time ran out, to keep Sax ‘entrance alive.

“I had six games this season settled by a field goal with no time left,” Sax said. “Luckily, I won all six.”

Prize money: $ 1.53 million
Super Bowl winner: packers

Marc Pearlman

Biggest sweat: Falcons over Lions in Week 16. Perlman’s strategy was to fade Lions backup quarterback Tim Boyle. In the end, it was a winning decision, but it was not stress-free. Boyle threw an interception on the first-and-goal from the Atlanta 1-yard line with 33 seconds to play, sealing the Falcons’ 20-16 victory.

“After the last interception, I screamed ‘yes’ and started running with excitement,” said Perlman, who was sweating the fights at Caesars Palace. “The whole sportsbook started cheering on the crazy guy who was me. It’s funny because we all see someone cheering loudly in these situations and often wondering, ‘how much did that guy just win?’ Whether it’s $ 10 or $ 10,000, it’s all relative, but for me at that moment it was possibly for millions. “

Prize money: $ 1.2 million
Super Bowl winner: rams

Chris Piper

Biggest sweat: The Browns at the Packers in Week 16. Green Bay intercepted Baker Mayfield with 50 seconds to play to secure a 24-22 victory.

Prize money: $ 1.2 million
Super Bowl winner: titanium

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