This post contains affiliate links. “As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases.”
The busy part of the 2022 NFL offseason is finally over. Teams around the league have rebuilt their lists in free agency and through the draft, with most teams set.
Our betting experts have everything you need to know to access each team’s overall win and how they face each other.
Monday: NFL victory in total
Tuesday: Playoffs yes / no
Wednesday: league leaders
Friday: Super Bowl, conference and division odds
All odds from Caesars Sportsbook.
Is there a value game for a league leader you can afford to take now?
Seth Walder, ESPN Sports Analysis Writer: I would take a long shot at Cam Akers with 30-1. I got him in fifth place in my rush yards projections, driven by a 63% projected team-designed carry share by Mike Clay – an important input I use – and the Rams’ strong winning streak (read: more bears). Akers did not look good in the post-season last year, but with more time to recover from his Achilles injury, there is a chance he can come back.
Eric Moody, ESPN Betting Analyst: If you’re looking for a value in most rushing yards in the regular season, you should consider Najee Harris at +1500. I finished last season with 1,200 rushing yards. At OTAs, Harris looks just as physically impressive and scary as Derrick Henry. James Daniels and Mason Cole were added to the offensive line by the Steelers in free agency. Both are quality starters and can play guard or center. As a result of these additions and Harris’ physical transformation, he is a legitimate candidate to lead the league in rushing.
Tyler Fulghum, ESPN Betting Analyst: Mike Evans (40-1) leads the NFL in receiving yards. No one wants to throw the ball as much as Tom Brady and the Bucs this season. I have led the league in finishes, tries, yards and TD last season. Antonio Brown is gone. Chris Godwin will not play an entire season as he recovers from an ACL injury. Rob Gronkowski may be done, and even though he is not, he’s still a year older. Who should Brady throw to? I would not be shocked if Evans is the top 5 in the NFL in goals per game. match. He has always been a big threat. Brady will force-feed Evans – and for a guy who has never failed to hit 1,000 yards in any season in the league – who could be poised for the best season of his career.
Tom Brady (+700) is the favorite to lead the league in passing yards at the age of 45. Is this a good bet or should you bet on someone else?
Aaron Schatz, Editor-in-Chief of Football Outsiders: My favorite bet on leading the league in passing yards is Derek Carr at +1200. Did you know that Carr a year ago was number five in the league in yards? And it was without Davante Adams catching his passes and Darren Waller missed time due to an injury.
Anita Marks, ESPN Betting Analyst: Justin Herbert (+550) looks ready to crush his third season. Photos on Instagram and reports about his off-season program must have Chargers fans excited. Last season, Herbert passed over 5,000 yards, threw 38 touchdowns, and the Chargers finished as the fourth-best offensive player in the NFL. The front office did well to fire Mike Williams, adding offensive lineman Zion Johnson to the draft. Not only does Herbert have a solid wide receiving core, but he is blessed with one of the best receiving backs in the league, Austin Ekeler. He is also led by one of the most aggressive offensive coaches in Brandon Staley.
There was plenty of movement at the WR position this offseason with Tyreek Hill, Davante Adams and AJ Brown among them on new teams. Who do you see as the receiving yard manager this year?
Joe Fortenbaugh, ESPN Betting Analyst: CeeDee Lamb at 25-1. Amari Cooper’s departure frees up 68 receptions for a third-year receiver in Lamb, who picked up 79 passes last season. As quarterback Dak Prescott’s biggest threat, I see the Lamb record a host of goals, while the Cowboys find themselves involved in shootouts from week to week.
moody: Justin Jefferson is my choice to lead the league in terms of receiving yardage this season. Over the last two seasons, he has played in 33 games, averaging 91.4 receiving yards per game. match. The Vikings were able to transform Jefferson’s role into that of Cooper Kupps when they adopted a Rams-like offensive under Kevin O’Connell. Jefferson is ready for an excellent season.
Jonathan Taylor and Derrick Henry have dominated the rushing yards category for the past 3 seasons and they have the shortest odds for 2022. Who has the best bet value among RBs not named Henry and Taylor?
Shatz: Taylor is definitely the best bet to lead the league in rushing yards in 2022, but if I have to go with someone else, give me Dalvin Cook at +850. We have him projected as number three at Football Outsiders, partly because the Vikings should have more wins this season, which means more games where Cook is delayed to run out.