NFL Betting Market Watch: Biggest Bears-Packers points spread in decades

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The points spread for Sunday night’s Chicago Bears-Green Bay Packers game is one of the biggest that the NFL North rivalry has seen in decades.

The Packers were 12.5-point favorites over the Bears on Wednesday. You have to go back to 1998, when Green Bay was a 13-point favorite over Chicago, to find a bigger line in the series.

With quarterback Aaron Rodgers starting, Green Bay is 21-5 straight up against the Bears in the regular season. Only Brett Favre (23-13) has more wins over Chicago in the Super Bowl era. In addition, the Packers have covered the spread in 19 of Rodgers’ 26 starts against the Bears.

Green Bay beat the Bears 24-14 as 5.5-point favorites in Week 6, with Rodgers reminding fans at Soldier Field that he “owns” them. Bettors, even those in Illinois, know this too.

Chicago has only won once since that defeat, a dismal stretch that included rookie quarterback Justin Fields with broken ribs. Fields missed the last two games but was cleared medically on Wednesday and is expected to start Sunday at Lambeau Field.

The Packers, meanwhile, are in a battle with the Cardinals and Buccaneers for the No. 1 seed in the NFC.


NFL market

Here’s our weekly look at how the NFL betting market is shaping up this weekend.

For consistency, lines, totals and betting percentages are from Caesars Sportsbook unless otherwise stated. The bet percentages are not specific to the current line or total and are designed to provide a snapshot of the early action. The look-ahead lines were offered ahead of the previous week’s game. Most numbers reopened Sunday night.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Minnesota Vikings (Thursday)

Last week’s forward line: Vikings -3.5, 45.5
Sunday: Vikings -3.5, 45
Wednesday: Vikings -3 (-120), 43.5
Spread action: 59% of the stakes and 77% of the money wagered are on the Steelers.
Total action: 54% of the stakes are above, but 78% of the money wagered is below.

Seattle Seahawks and Houston Texans

Last week’s forward line: Seahawks -6.5, 44.5
Sunday: Seahawks -7.5, 43.5
Wednesday: Seahawks -8, 41.5
Spread action: 70% of the bets are on the Seahawks, but 52% of the money wagered is on the Texans.
Total action: 80% of the stakes and 94% of the money wagered are below.

Baltimore Ravens at the Cleveland Browns

Last week’s forward line: Ravne -1, 45
Sunday: Choose them, 43.5
Wednesday: Brune -2, 42
Spread action: 54% of the stakes and 90% of the money wagered are on the Browns.
Total action: 76% of the money and 92% of the money wagered is under.

Jacksonville Jaguars at the Tennessee Titans

Last week’s forward line: Titans -9.5, 46.5
Sunday: Titans -11, 43.5
Wednesday: Titans -9, 44
Spread action: 54% of the stakes and 95% of the money wagered are on Jaguars.
Total action: 82% of the stakes and 97% of the money wagered are below.

Atlanta Falcons by the Carolina Panthers

Last week’s forward line: Panthers -2.5
Sunday: Panthers -3, 43.5
Wednesday: Panthers -2.5, 43
Spread action: 70% of the stakes and 71% of the money wagered are on Falcons.
Total action: 84% of the stakes and 99% of the money wagered are below.

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Football Team

Last week’s forward line: Cowboys -4.5, 49
Sunday: Cowboys -4.5, 49
Wednesday: Cowboys -4, 48
Spread action: 52% of the bets are on the Cowboys, but 65% of the money wagered is on Washington.
Total action: 81% of the stakes and 92% of the money wagered are below.

Las Vegas Raiders at the Kansas City Chiefs

Last week’s forward line: Chiefs -10, 52.5
Sunday: REACH
Wednesday: Chiefs -9.5, 48.5
Spread action: 67% of the stakes and 63% of the money wagered are on Raiders.
Total action: 71% of the stakes and 94% of the money wagered are below.

Comments: Strong winds (17 mph) are expected in Kansas City on Sunday.

New Orleans Saints on New York Jets

Last week’s forward line: Saints -6.5, 43.5
Sunday: Saints -6, 44
Wednesday: Saints -4.5, 43
Spread action: 60% of the stakes and 65% of the money wagered are on Saints.
Total action: 73% of the stakes and 78% of the money wagered are below.

Detroit Lions and Denver Broncos

Last week’s forward line: Broncos -8.5, 43.5
Sunday: REACH
Wednesday: Broncos -8, 42
Spread action: 63% of the stakes and 82% of the money wagered are on Lions.
Total action: 74% of the stakes and 93% of the money wagered are under.

New York Giants at the Los Angeles Chargers

Last week’s forward line: Chargers -7.5, 46.5
Sunday: Chargers -10.5, 45.5
Wednesday: Chargers -10.5, 44.5
Spread action: 74% of the bets are on Chargers, but 56% of the money wagered is on Giants.
Total action: 70% of the stakes and 61% of the money wagered are below.

San Francisco 49ers and Cincinnati Bengals

Last week’s forward line: The Bengals -2.5, 47
Sunday: Bengal -1.5, 47.5
Wednesday: Bengals -1, 48.5
Spread action: 50% of the stakes and 61% of the money are on Bengals.
Total action: 55% of the stakes and 69% of the stakes are over.

Buffalo Bills at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Last week’s forward line: Bucs -3.5, 53
Sunday: Bucs -3.5, 53.5
Wednesday: Bucs -3.5, 53
Spread action: 79% of the stakes and 94% of the money wagered are on Bucs.
Total action: 53% of the stakes are below, but 71% of the money wagered is below.

Comments: Caesars Sportsbook reported having taken a $ 240,000 bet on Tampa Bay when the line was at -3 (-120) earlier in the week. On Wednesday, it was the biggest bet Caesars had taken on this week’s NFL board.

Chicago Bears at the Green Bay Packers

Last week’s forward line: Packers -11, 45.5
Sunday: Packers -13, 45
Wednesday: Packers -12.5, 43.5
Spread action: 72% of the stakes and 68% of the money wagered are on the Packers.
Total action: 78% of the stakes and 91% of the money wagered are below.

Comments: The Packers own the best record against the spread of 10-2. They have covered the spread in all five of their home games. … Green Bay is the first double-digit favorite in Sunday’s best broadcast time this season.

Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals (Monday)

Last week’s forward line: Cardinals -2.5, 52
Sunday: Cardinals -3, 52
Wednesday: Cardinals -2.5, 52
Spread action: 82% of the stakes and 91% of the money wagered are on the Cardinals.
Total action: 52% of the stakes and 68% of the money wagered are under.

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