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The NFL schedule has not yet been announced and the draft is still weeks away, but the overall odds for season wins are already on the board at some sportsbooks.
The Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers – both by 11.5 – top the overall numbers released Thursday on Caesars Sportsbook.
The Green Bay Packers are next on 11, followed by the Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams and Dallas Cowboys, each opening at 10.5 with varying prices to bet above or below. The San Francisco 49ers, Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers opened at 10 a.m., rounding off the teams with double-digit wins.
“The league is so balanced right now that it’s hard to win a total of 12,” Adam Pullen, assistant director of commerce at Caesars Sportsbook, said in a press release. “Parity is there. There are so many good teams out there. Even with the extra match, it’s hard to see a team going to win 13 or 14 matches. With all the player movement, it gives more uncertainty and just more balance. So that is not a surprise that the highest win in total is 11.5, it just shows how deep the league is. “
Caesars’ overall victory paints a picture of an extremely competitive AFC. Nine of the 14 teams with the highest opening victory totals are in the conference. Defending AFC champion Cincinnati Bengals, Indianapolis Colts, Tennessee Titans, Cleveland Browns and Baltimore Ravens all opened to 9.5.
Each team in the tough AFC West opened with wins of 8.5 or higher.
“I would say AFC West is the best division I have ever seen,” Pullen said. “These are four playoff caliber teams – an improved Broncos team, a Chargers team that has been close but a lot of people expect to make it, and a Raiders team that already reached the playoffs last year. It is “Clearly, the Chiefs are the Chiefs. Just stand out as the toughest, for sure, every division game should be interesting.”
The Houston Texans opened with the lowest win overall at 4.5. Houston won four games last season.
The New York Jets and Atlanta Falcons are also near the bottom, opening at 5.5.
“I think the hardest win totals to put are the teams at the bottom,” Pullen said. “Many times people like to bet these overs on the low totals, so you have to measure how bad they are.”